Top of the Morning

How will the aam aadmi afford a trip to the movies?

Episode Summary

Why FMCG stocks look promising

Episode Notes

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Monday, June 10, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started:

The markets are still recuperating from the bloodbath from election results day. However, it wasn't so bad for all of them: Ram Sahgal writes that retail investors, who buy and sell shares directly, outsmarted the broader market. Instead of buying while the markets were rising prior to the results, retail investors sold heavily. These stocks were bought by foreign portfolio investors, as well as mutual funds. When the market tanked by nearly 6 percent the following day, retail investors were fairly safe, while the other sets of investors were left holding the losses. This was a rare case of the average investor outsmarting larger, institutional investors, Ram writes.

Public sector utility stocks have continued to fare poorly since the election results were announced. The formation of the coalition government has exposed these PSUs to certain risks. As Manish Joshi points out, the coalition members would have opinions about sensitive issues such as the price of fuel and electricity. These decisions may be taken to placate the political partners — but might not be fundamentally sound for the businesses. Subsidised rates in electricity, in particular, are concerning. Investors might steer clear of these stocks until the new government is established and takes some policy decisions.

Corporate India always waits to see which sectors get a boost after a new government is formed. This time around, consumer goods companies might have some reason to cheer: a post-election analysis by brokerage firms says that the new government is likely to roll out "pro-consumption initiatives". Suneera Tandon writes that this could provide a boost for FMCG stocks. The central weather department has predicted that India will see a normal monsoon this year — another positive sign for these consumer goods companies. FMCGs have had a rough couple of years, owing to increasing prices due to inflation. On their part, FMCGs are investing heavily in improving their distribution networks to improve their revenue, notes Suneera.

In India, the heart of the jewellery market is the wedding market. In its early days, Tanishq didn't exactly understand that: much of its marketing was aimed at a different target market. The jewellery business in India is worth some 50,000 crore rupees — but Tanishq was only pulling in a revenue of about 500 crore rupees. CK Venkatraman, ex-COO of Tanishq, details how the company went from this feeble income to the behemoth it is today. Venkatraman writes it in his own words in his book titled "The Tanishq Story", an excerpt of which we have published.

Movie ticket prices have slowly been creeping up. Once in a while, you'll notice that tickets are available for a flick you want to watch — but they cost an arm and a leg! That's because movie theatres in India are increasingly turning premium. Multiplex chains insist on creating fancy infrastructure for movie theatres, while theatres in tier 2 and 3 cities have been dying for a few years. This contrasting trajectory means that the common man is being priced out of going for movies. Lata Jha takes a deep dive into the cinema industry, and writes about its developments — both the good and bad.

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Show notes:

Retail investors outplay FIIs, MFs on 4 June

Will PSUs lose their thunder in Modi 3.0?

Brokerages see likely gain in FMCG stock with BJP’s return to power

How Tanishq broke into the bridal jewellery market in India 

Luxury-format cinemas: Where tickets cost an arm, and popcorn, a leg